If you have (or can borrow) a leakdown tester (which uses shop air to pressure the cylinder via the spark plug hole with each cylinder at top dead center - all valves closed), you will be able to listen for where the air is leaking out.
If hissing is heard at the tailpipe, you've got a open (burned) exhaust valve ; if hissing is heard when you open the oil filler cap there is ring blow-by ; if hissing is heard from the air cleaner - an intake valve is stuck open.
If you're really lucky, the intake valve pockets might simply be all gunked up, and a piece of carbon crap is slightly holding open a #2 intake valve. Should that be the case, you might be able to clean it without having to pull the head (by removing the intake manifold).
But this is just a wild guess. There are guys on this forum who work on VW's for a living and much better qualified than me to comment if the carbon buildup can get that bad, and (more importantly) if it can be cleaned without running all the nasty crap down into the cylinder through the partially open valve.
A leakdown tester is a pretty inexpensive (maybe $35-$50) but handy piece of test equipment.